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6. červen 2013 Written by   Published in News

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Aenean iaculis volutpat libero congue hendrerit. Class aptent taciti sociosqu ad litora torquent per conubia nostra, per inceptos himenaeos. Vivamus tempus tellus eu quam volutpat vehicula. Maecenas eget lorem orci, ut sagittis nulla. Donec non justo tortor, sit amet consequat enim. Mauris volutpat dignissim sagittis. Aliquam suscipit pharetra nibh, vel tincidunt sem lacinia ac. Aliquam vel magna ut dolor sagittis tincidunt. Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Nullam semper sem sit amet massa lobortis commodo. Nam scelerisque, eros interdum malesuada fermentum, ante ligula molestie quam, vitae eleifend diam lorem eget massa.

Overview

Aenean iaculis volutpat libero congue hendrerit. Class aptent taciti sociosqu ad litora torquent per conubia nostra, per inceptos himenaeos. Vivamus tempus tellus eu quam volutpat vehicula. Maecenas eget lorem orci, ut sagittis nulla. Donec non justo tortor, sit amet consequat enim. Mauris volutpat dignissim sagittis. Aliquam suscipit pharetra nibh, vel tincidunt sem lacinia ac. Aliquam vel magna ut dolor sagittis tincidunt. Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Nullam semper sem sit amet massa lobortis commodo. Nam scelerisque, eros interdum malesuada fermentum, ante ligula molestie quam, vitae eleifend diam lorem eget massa.

 

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    But for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, today’s meeting at the White House will surely trigger awkward memories of that very public clash with the US President almost six months ago. Navigating the treacherous waters in which he finds himself today will be no easier.
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    Increasingly, it appears likely he will be told to give up land in exchange for some sort of security guarantees.

    The land side of that “deal” will be obvious. It can be drawn on a map. Crimea: gone, says Trump. Donetsk: give all of it up, says Putin, apparently with Trump’s blessing.

    But the security guarantees? That’s where far more challenging ideas, like credibility, come into play. Could Zelensky rely on the US to deliver on some NATO Article 5-type promise, to defend Ukraine if Russia breaches any peace agreement?

    Putin himself might even see an opportunity to further weaken the West, by testing any such guarantees, confident they are a bluff he could call. But all that would be for the future.

    For now, it looks like Zelensky will have to weigh up whether he could bring his country with him if he were to cede territory to Russia – some of it still in Ukrainian hands – or whether he and his people could bear the costs of potentially defying Trump a Nobel Peace Prize, and say no.

    If he chose the latter, would the US President immediately end all remaining American support for Ukraine, in terms of military aid and intelligence sharing, for instance?

    If that happened, to what extent could Zelensky’s European allies really step in and fill in the gaps left by any full US retreat?

    It is an almost impossibly hard choice before him.
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    But for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, today’s meeting at the White House will surely trigger awkward memories of that very public clash with the US President almost six months ago. Navigating the treacherous waters in which he finds himself today will be no easier.
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    Increasingly, it appears likely he will be told to give up land in exchange for some sort of security guarantees.

    The land side of that “deal” will be obvious. It can be drawn on a map. Crimea: gone, says Trump. Donetsk: give all of it up, says Putin, apparently with Trump’s blessing.

    But the security guarantees? That’s where far more challenging ideas, like credibility, come into play. Could Zelensky rely on the US to deliver on some NATO Article 5-type promise, to defend Ukraine if Russia breaches any peace agreement?

    Putin himself might even see an opportunity to further weaken the West, by testing any such guarantees, confident they are a bluff he could call. But all that would be for the future.

    For now, it looks like Zelensky will have to weigh up whether he could bring his country with him if he were to cede territory to Russia – some of it still in Ukrainian hands – or whether he and his people could bear the costs of potentially defying Trump a Nobel Peace Prize, and say no.

    If he chose the latter, would the US President immediately end all remaining American support for Ukraine, in terms of military aid and intelligence sharing, for instance?

    If that happened, to what extent could Zelensky’s European allies really step in and fill in the gaps left by any full US retreat?

    It is an almost impossibly hard choice before him.
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    But for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, today’s meeting at the White House will surely trigger awkward memories of that very public clash with the US President almost six months ago. Navigating the treacherous waters in which he finds himself today will be no easier.
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    Increasingly, it appears likely he will be told to give up land in exchange for some sort of security guarantees.

    The land side of that “deal” will be obvious. It can be drawn on a map. Crimea: gone, says Trump. Donetsk: give all of it up, says Putin, apparently with Trump’s blessing.

    But the security guarantees? That’s where far more challenging ideas, like credibility, come into play. Could Zelensky rely on the US to deliver on some NATO Article 5-type promise, to defend Ukraine if Russia breaches any peace agreement?

    Putin himself might even see an opportunity to further weaken the West, by testing any such guarantees, confident they are a bluff he could call. But all that would be for the future.

    For now, it looks like Zelensky will have to weigh up whether he could bring his country with him if he were to cede territory to Russia – some of it still in Ukrainian hands – or whether he and his people could bear the costs of potentially defying Trump a Nobel Peace Prize, and say no.

    If he chose the latter, would the US President immediately end all remaining American support for Ukraine, in terms of military aid and intelligence sharing, for instance?

    If that happened, to what extent could Zelensky’s European allies really step in and fill in the gaps left by any full US retreat?

    It is an almost impossibly hard choice before him.
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